Citigroup Panic Euphoria Model

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Good morning Traders,
 
Sorry for the lack of an update last week, we’ve been busy behind the scenes here with some important changes that we’ll be rolling out this summer.  That being said, the market continues its wider consolidation since the 3/2 top.  In the interim, our Price Gap Stock Trader service has produced even more gains.  We’ll have the performance update below. 
 
But for now, this weekend we took a seasonal view of the financial markets.  Here’s that article:
 
A Seasonal View4/19/2015 10:15:58 AM
 
Good morning Traders,
 
With Friday’s weakness, a down-trending consolidation is in place.  The consolidation makes it difficult to leverage at trade in the rapid 1-2 day short term moves, but at some point, the market will break in one direction or the other out of the consolidation.  So we have to be prepared to act on that break.
 
That being said, let’s take a seasonal look at our key vehicles:
 
qqq seasonality
 
While I pointed the arrow lower, there’s a high likelihood of a continuation of the advance.  There hasn’t been more than one day of follow through on these large one day down moves in some time.
 
bond seasonality
 
Bonds are the key, but they’d have to move back and retest highs if the stock market is going to remain weak.
 
dollar seasonality
 
I’m still leaning towards the dollar consolidating the very large recent move higher.  That will help other assets.
 
gold seasonality
 
But gold is done – the move should continue lower for a long time…
 
uso seasonality
 
Oil on the other hand, has significant potential.  It’s not always driven by production and storage levels.
 
natural gas seasonality
 
Nat Gas is relatively new for us, so we’re still looking at underlying trading patterns in the derivatives to draw more conclusive trading.  We look at about 10 variables of trading these commodities for correlative approaches to trading.  We’re not rushing it.  But we’ll periodically test our findings with trades when the opportunities arise. 
 
Putting it all together, the stock market could break here, but the consolidation that started with the 3/2 peak is continuing and behaves pretty normal.  I’d expect a day of weakness and a pause then another push higher to bring this 5 year rally to a more significant end…
 
Regards,
 
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Turning our focus back towards our Stock Trading Advice, here’s Damon’s performance Update – with a special offer to get our LPPL Report free - this report will govern the markets downturn when this 6 year bull market finally breaks. 
 
to Damon Verial’s Price Gap Stock Trader for only $1 and if you sign up this week, you’ll get our LPPL Report at no extra cost.  Use Discount Code PGS1 when signing up.
 
Subscribe Now - only $1
 
Performance Report4/6/2015 9:33:38 PM

Let’s start with the most important facts:

Average return on all trades: 3%
Average win-to-loss ratio: 11:8
Average annual percent return: 139%
Average trade duration: 26.6 days
Average win: 8.2%
Average loss: 4%
Profit-to-loss ratio: 21:10
 
Below are the facts for each trade:
 
 
And a chart:
 
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Our 3 best trades:

 
#3
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#2
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#1
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Conclusion

 
Our gap trading portfolio beat the S&P500, allowing us to profit while the market is down overall. The key was identifying two types of gaps and profiting on them. Our area gaps helped is bring is small but reliable profits, while breakaway gaps allowed us to reap huge profits:
 
Area Gaps: Closed quickly for small but reliable profits
Breakaway Gaps: Riskier but allows normal stock to act like penny stock, growing quickly within a short time.
 
You would make more money by blindly investing in my gap trades without closing on time as well. Stocks with breakaway gaps outperform the market as a whole. Our results are the result of unique forecasting abilities that I have outlined several times: Candlesticks + Gaps + Technicals = Accurate Prediction
 
This month, we witnessed our best gap trade yet in EYES, giving us a 23% profit in only 2 weeks. Had you bought call options, you could have made an even higher ROI. A $100 call option, or example, would be worth almost $400 at the time of our close. My goal for April – a time that is seeing some hesitation in the market – is to play more short-term area gaps, which tend to be more reliable in a bear market. If you have any suggestions for this service, please let me know.
 
Subscribe to my other newsletters here:
 
 
to Damon Verial’s Price Gap Stock Trader for only $1 and if you sign up this week, you’ll get our LPPL Report at no extra cost.  Use Discount Code PGS1 when signing up.
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 
PS – Sign up today and get our popular LPPL Report that will show you how this bull market will end.  CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP  and don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE PGS1 when signing up.

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Gold Trader

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USO USD RSI

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Cumulative Money Flow

Good morning Traders,
 
Back in 2005, Mark McMillan joined us writing an ETF Trading Service.  The service comes with access to his personal chat room.  For the past two years, we’ve closed the service to new subscribers, but as he approaches his 10 year anniversary with us this June, we’re opening it back up to let new subscribers in.  One of the reasons is that we see a significant correction developing in the markets – and we want to make our most experienced advisors available to you to help you through it.  This condition doesn’t happen all that often in history, and I’ll walk through it below. 
 
 
So what do we see?
 
Dow 1929 - Subscribe Now
In this first chart, we see a LPPL Curve of the DOW JONES approaching the 1929 top.   This Log Periodic Power Law curve is a formulation that fits when you get a series of higher highs and higher lows and cycles and depth diminishing in time. 
 
Here’s the DOW JONES approaching the 2008 top:
 
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This pattern repeats again in the DOW approaching the 2008 top.  It’s repeated before most crashes and bubbles going back to the beginning of markets. 
 
So what does it mean for us?
 
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The above chart shows the rapid climb in the USD index.  But it also shows the QQQs (Nasdaq 100) since the 2009 stock market bottom.  And you guessed it, a perfect LPPL structure.  This doesn’t bode well for financial markets.  But the question is always WHEN will the bubble burst?
 
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We’re always looking for signs of things breaking down in the economy.  With Jobs, they’re always bullish at a top.  As a divergence develops, it can lead or confirm a bearish move in the markets.
 
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Above we see a component of sentiment in the market – and an uptick in uncertainty.  This condition normally exists before corrections.  Corrections come about because Imitation is a big driver in the market.  We’ll have more on that later…
 
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And our last chart above shows the ECRI data – the uptick is bullish for the markets and part of our mid term call for a final thrust higher into April/May and then for things to get ugly…
 
Since 2005, Mark McMillan has been writing a daily article on the financial markets.  That type of experience is hard to come by.  Not only to see market turns over the past decade plus, but to advise traders how to position (or not to) through the move. 
 
And access to his personal chat room where you can hear him talk and address issues intra day – makes this opportunity that much better!
 
And we’ll throw in a 52-page presentation on Bubbles that will blow your mind and help you understand what to expect when this market collapses.
 
All for only $1.  
 
 
Don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE TMP1 when signing up.
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 
PS – Again, this is a limited time offer, so subscribe today and join Mark’s subscribers in the chat room during the trading day.  CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP  and don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE TMP1 when signing up.

NAAIM

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to access our market timing research for only $1!

This indicator shows us when individuals are jumping in the market, which is usually a sign of a top…

From this week’s Daily Stock Barometer: Visit www.stockbarometer.com to access our stock market timing research!

Individuals In The Market?

Good morning Traders,
 
A few weeks ago, I introduced you to Damon Verial’s Penny Stock Service that we launched in January.  We’ll have his February performance update below as well as a special offer to sign up.  But first, let’s take a look at the stock market with some of our research that we published to clients over the week.
 
First up is a newer data series that we’ve been following.  It shows us how money managers are positioning their portfolios.  Obviously this data is bearish from a contrarian point of view, but just because it’s at a peak doesn’t mean we’re at a top…  There is also a bunch of data behind this list – too much to show you here.
 
Click here for more info...
 
Next up is our cumulative equity money flow ex etf chart that isn’t showing a bounce during this market bounce.   This can be a precursor to bad things to come.  
 
Click here to sign up!
 
Here is the performance update for our Penny Stock Trading Service – if you sign up this week, we’ll also give you our Stock Trading Secrets video series (a $20 value) and you’ll get Damon’s Gap Trading educational email series.
 
CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP – Use Discount Code  DVPS1 to get your first month for only $1.
 
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Penny Stock Performance Report for February 20152/23/2015 4:13:45 AM

Let’s start with the most important facts:

Average return on all trades: 21%
 
Average win-to-loss ratio: 8.3
 
Average annual percent return: 208%
 
Average trade duration: 24 days
 
Average win: 34.9%
 
Average loss: 7.7%
 
Profit-to-loss ratio: 4.5:1
 
Below are the facts for each trade:
 
Here are the numbers!
 
And a chart:
 
It's all about the performance - click here!
 

Our 3 best trades:

 
#3
You really want to click here - we know you do :)
 
#2
Click here now!
 
#1
Click here to trade with us!
 
 
If the performance data doesn’t show well on your email browser, feel free to email us and we’ll send you the spreadsheet in excel when you sign up.
 
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Back to the markets, here is one more chart for you:
 
Click here to sign up today!  $1 gets you 1 month and so much more!
 
From a sentiment perspective, it’s at a peak, diverging off the lows.  There’s still room to go higher, but it definitely raises the caution flag…
 
That’s it for this week – I encourage you to try Damon’s penny service, we’re launching it at this discounted price for only a short time, so take advantage today!
 
 
DON’T FORGET TO USE DISCOUNT CODE DVPS1 when signing up to get your first month free.  Sign up this week and we’ll throw in our Stock Trading Secrets Trading Videos and Price Gap Trading Tutorial. 
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 
PS – The price for this daily options advisory will be going up soon, so subscribe today and you’ll lock in this price as long as you remain subscrbed.  CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP  and don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE DVPS1 when signing up.
 
Good morning Traders,
 
Last year we brought in Gregory Clay to head up an options income trading service because we expected markets to be more challenging as we near the end of the 2009 bull market.  Since then, we saw one correction last August and one consolidation that initiated last November and just completed recently.  While we expected good performance, we didn’t expect what we got.  And it’s because of that performance, Gregory’s service has been growing significantly.  Here’s his last performance update – going back to when we launched his service back in April of 2014:
 
 

Six Month Performance Results2/12/2015 2:12:19 PM
Market Summary
Weekly Income Credit Spread (WICS) six-month trade results are displayed below. The past six months we were able to execute 18 of the published trades. 17 of these trades closed out at a profit. Shown below are the details for each trade. The trades do not include commissions and fees. Also, results will vary based on the number of contracts traded, and at what price the orders are filled. The Opening Trade date is when the ‘Trade Alert’ was published for the trade. Each trade was closed out on the date associated with the Closing Trade. The gain or (loss) for each spread is highlighted along with a Summary Total (accumulated result of all the trades for the past year).
 
Sign up now to lock in your subscription!
 
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Note
Weekly Income Credit Spread (WICS) trade setups are published in the evening for execution the following day(s). Suggested prices for each option contract are the published quotes at the time an article is written. We will provide trade price confirmation during the trading day. Keep in mind that in the ‘Trade Setup’ for Trade Alerts we suggest a minimum credit amount that we would accept. Generally, if the recommended prices are not available, we can accept the suggested minimum to do the trade. Be aware that high market volatility can make it difficult to execute trades at recommended prices
 
Regards,
 
Gregory Clay
Options Strategist
 
 
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Again, this performance has been really impressive in both return and consistency.
 
How do you start your subscription?
 
 
How do you get your first 4 weeks for only $1?   USE DISCOUNT CODE WIC1 when signing up.
 
So what about the markets?  The message is real simple – bonds are selling off and fueling stocks.  The advance has made the market very complacent, as evidenced by the chart below.  This complacency CAN lead to a top – but the liquidity from bonds CAN continue the rally.   We’re at 13 days running above the 9 day moving average.  A liquidity advance can last 30-40 days!  This would definitely lead to a peak in lime with our previous forecast. 
 
Subscribe Today! 
 
 
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 
PS – The issue with Gregory’s Newsletter being so popular is that at some point, we will have to close this service off to new subscribers because Gregory’s trades/clients can actually move the market.  I expect to reach this saturation point in 2015.  So if you’re on the fence, sign up today to lock in your subscription.    CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP  and don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE WIC1 when signing up. 
 
PSS – Supporting Healthy Clients – click here for our discounted health & fitness products