Visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn more…

NYSE Cumulative Volume

Good evening Traders,
 
As election day is finally upon us, there can be a significant response in the stock market. 
 
Accordingly, we want to make you a special offer.  Our Daily Stock Barometer Premier Service for only $24.95.  This is
a limited time offer (available for the next week only) and if you subscribe, we’ll honor your subscription for as long as you remain subscribed. 
There’s a lot about to happen in the markets right now, and we want as many traders to be ready for it.  We’ll have this evening’s Daily Stock
Barometer below, but first, more about your subscription. 
 
The Premier subscription includes the following:
 
  • The Daily Stock Barometer – Stock market timing advice
  • QQQ Trader Alert – trade the QQQ using our market timing advice
  • Stock Options Speculator – Top 100 PUTS and CALLS at our timing reversals
  • Covered Call Alert – our top 100 Covered Calls at stock market tops.
  • IRG Market Timing Indicators – all our research (that you see here and 300 more indicators) Emailed to you weekly
  • Gold Options Trader - Using our research to trade Gold Options – our last trade was up several hundred percent
  • Oil Options Trader – Using our research to trade Oil Options – again our last trade in this service (PUTS) was up over 400%
  • Natural Gas Options Trader – we recently expanded our research theories to cover Natural Gas 
  • And more…
To subscribe, click the following link over the next week.  We are not offering a discounted trial to the services,
because this is a limited time half off deal. 
 
 
 
Here’s this Evening’s Daily Stock Barometer:
 
 
Important Week
12/14/2014 7:27:44 PM
 
Good evening Traders,
 
As we’ve pointed out in the past, periodically, reversals align with expiration.  And this week should
be no different as it rolls into expiration this Friday.  We have a lot of charts to go through today, so let’s dig right
in…
 
First – the situation in index options is changing rapidly…
 
index options
 
And there’s a corresponding move in equity options:
 
equity options
 
The indicator above suggests we’re close to a bottom in the short term.
 
Moving on to the economy:
 
ecri
 
Bonds are getting extended (This is bullish for stocks).
 
bonds
 
The dollar is getting overbought and momentum is slowing – this would be bullish for the Nasdaq.
 
usd
 
While we’re looking at the dollar, what about Gold?
 
gold
 
This is a neat chart that shows the extent that markets can sell off, but we’re at a relative
low.
 
nasdaq new lows
 
Very concerning is the Nasdaq Breadth here:
 
Nasdaq Cumulative Breadth
 
In this view of the Nyse Trin, it’s bullish:
 
trin
 
But in this view, which looks at the highs, lows and close of the trin, we can see worse readings:
 
trin comb
 
And on to oil – which is all the talk (And we’re about to issue some call options this
week).
 
oil
 
At the time of this writing Sunday night, oil is continuing it’s slide lower. 
 
long term barometer
 
Our QQQ indicator is also pointing lower, but getting extended in the short term.
 
QQQ Timer
 
Summary:
 
The market is at a point where I like to say, the rubber meets the road.  If we’re going to crash,
we’ll do it this week into Friday.  But given the time of the and the coordination with our forecast for 2014 – we’re more likely
to see prices stabilize and rally early this week into expiration.  Then as we enter the final two weeks of the year, prices should further stabilize
into a year end top. 
 
Oil is starting to look good here, but we’re not inclined to catch that falling knife.  A few call options
though could prove lucrative longer term.  You can get some February calls pretty cheap (which we’ll recommend when we see a
bottom).
 
Gold should be cranking, but the absence of the move and positioning of some of the bets in gold suggest further
weakness.  Not ready to make that bet yet – but preparing to.
We’ll give up a little of our QQQ gains to remain positioned for this bounce as the move has efficiently built
energy and the underlying action in the market to form a bottom is starting to initiate right on schedule with expiration.
 
Regards,
 
_____________________________________
 
We’re about to publish our year end models for 2015 and the year end is setting up for a very significant trade and we want as many
people to be on board as possible.  We’ve been writing this advisory for over 10 years, so we would love to prove our value to you and have you as a
client.
 
Again, To subscribe, click the following link over the next week.  Note, we are not offering trials for this
special limited time deal. 
 
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 
Good evening Traders,
 
The stock market is starting to make traders nervous.  But this is exactly what we expected.  If you take a look at our
2014 Forecast, we’ve been looking for this move lower to continue into tomorrow and bounce into year end.
 
Price Gap Stock Trader
 
And it isn’t making Damon Verial nervous either as he completes another month of returns.  Here’s his November performance
report to his subscribers.
 
———————————————-
 
subscribe now
November Performance Report12/6/2014 11:09:56 AM
 
November was a pretty good first month for Price Gap Stock Traders. We opened a total of 4 positions last month. Two were
great; the other two did nothing.
 
Let’s review our positions and their profitability.
 
WWWW:
Entered: A bit under $16
Exited: A bit under $18
Profit per share: $2
ROI: 13%
 
SSI:
Entered: A bit over $19.5
Exited: A bit over $19.5
Profit per share: $0
ROI: 0%
 
ASHR:
Entered: $29.5
Exited: Not Yet
Currently at: $34.5
Profit per share (so far): $5
ROI (so far): 17%
 
EEV:
Entered: A bit over $19
Exited: Not Yet (though we probably will soon, as the stock has taken on a sideways trend… stay
tuned…)
Currently at: A bit under $19
Profit per share (so far): -$0.5
ROI (so far): -3%
 
Total ROI: 28%
 
So overall, we had a pretty good month. Nevertheless, we made two suboptimal trades. Let’s hope December will be
better, though.
 
If you have any questions, please email me at damon@stockbarometer.com.
 
Subscribe here:
 
—————————————
 
How do you get your first 4 weeks for only $1?
 
 
USE DISCOUNT CODE PGS1 when signing up.  You’ll also get Damon’s Educational Email Series – How to
Trade Stock Gaps.
 
So what about the markets?  If you look at the following chart, it shows that institutions are protecting big time from a move
lower.  Unfortunately this action will serve to support prices here…
 
Price Gap Stock Trader
 
So we are looking for the markets to bottom tomorrow and rally into year end.  We’ll get back to our regular publication
schedule next week. 
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 
PS – Again, subscribe within the next week and we’ll throw in Damon’s Education Email Series on Trading Stock Gaps.  CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP  and don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE PGS1
when signing up.
Good morning Traders,
 
As stocks make new high after new high, and complacency floods the market, we’re starting to get worried.  We have a new piece
of research that we’ll show you below that should cause you a little concern.  If anything, in stocks right now, get in and out quickly and take those
profits.
 
And no one knows that better than Ian Mitchell, who has been racking up gains getting in and out of stocks for 2-3 days of
gains.  This is very controlled trading and you get his daily trading advice.  I believe it is his marine background that gives him the
courage and confidence to trade so precisely and disciplined. 
 
As a subscriber to Ian’s Stock Trader service, you will get a copy of his Stock Trading Manual where he teaches you his
system, and you will see him execute the system with trades and updates EVERY DAY!
 
Let’s take a look at his last trade:
 
Ian Mitchell's Stock Trader
 
As a subscriber to Ian’s service you get very precise advice, following a strict plan, and daily updates on the trade action. 
And most important – it’s profitable.  Note on the trade above, it’s a 3:1 profit to loss ratio – that is one of the biggest keys to trading
successfully.
 
How do you sign up?
 
 
How do you get your first 4 weeks for only $1?
 
USE DISCOUNT CODE IMS1 when signing up.
 
As for the markets, we have been raising the warning signs and on Friday, the issues in the oil market may have been just the
start.  What it did in the markets is blow out the new lows, and when new lows reach a certain level – combined with stock trending higher and a
negative McClellan Oscillator – then you have a crash signal.  We issued it to our clients this morning and we will be following up with it
in the days ahead.  The signal is active for 30 days.  Which lines up with our call for a stock market top coming in within that
window.  So stay tuned. 
 
Here is some new research we are following:
 
Ian Mitchell's Stock Trader
 
What this shows us is how this group of active money managers are positioned.   You can see the signal at the October
bottom.  And you can see that active managers are approaching the fully bullish position which can equate to a top.   Better than
any poll, this is how they’re positioning their money, which means worlds more…
 
So ho can you profit from the coming volatility?  Active trading.  The buy and hold since the 2009 bottom will be over
and only the nimble will survive.  And the best way to do that is to get in and out of stocks.
 
As a subscriber to Ian Mitchell’s Stock Trader service, you will get:
  • Daily Trading Advice
  • Ian’s Stock Trading Manual – learn his system and see him trade it
  • Published Performance records every month – so you can know what to expect
  • Ian’s educational email series covering what is required to be a successful trader
  • All of the above and a 4 week trial for only $1
How do you sign up?
 
 
How do you get your first 4 weeks for only $1?
 
USE DISCOUNT CODE IMS1 when signing up.
 
Ian’s just recommended a position in AMZN – sign up now and follow along…
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 
PS - Again, CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP  and don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE IMS1
when signing up.

Periodically we will hear statements like we heard today “Trimtabs is reporting the highest inflows into ETS since the top back in November 2007!”

That’s enough to scare you out of the market.  But is it accurate? 

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn more…

Companies like Trimtabs don’t share their research, so it’s impossible to verify it’s accuracy without the actual data.  We’ve reached out to the firm to see if they will send us data for verification.

However, our research shows that this isn’t the case.  On a weekly basis, we’ve been at this level 3 times over the past few years.  And going back to the 2007 top – we are no where near that level. 

Also note that the November 2007 top saw a spike in buying, but the market had already initiated it’s downtrend.  This was the one last bounce before all hell broke loose…

And the market is no where near that point.  First, on 9/19/07, ETF flow spiked.  This was right before the initial top.  Next, on 12/12/07 ETF Flow again spiked as it bounced following the initial attempt to retest highs.  Third, 3/19/08 – that was the biggest spike, as the market couldn’t muster a 50% retracement of the initial thrust lower.  The final bounce in August/September was the last big spike in ETF Flow until the initial attempt at a bottom.

Not Trimtabs ETF Money Flow

We’ve started following new data.  Here’s what it looks like:

NAAIM Exposure Index

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn more…

The NAAIM Exposure Index represents the average exposure to US Equity markets reported by our members.

The green line shows the close of the S&P 500 Total Return Index on the survey date. The purple line depicts a two-week moving average of the NAAIM managers’ responses. 

It is important to recognize that the NAAIM Exposure Index is not predictive in nature and is of little value in attempting to determine what the stock market will do in the future. The primary goal of most active managers is to manage the risk/reward relationship of the stock market and to stay in tune with what the market is doing at any given time. As the name indicates, the NAAIM Exposure Index provides insight into the actual adjustments active risk managers have made to client accounts over the past two weeks.

NAAIM member firms who are active money managers are asked each week to provide a number which represents their overall equity exposure at the market close on a specific day of the week, currently Wednesdays. Responses can vary widely as indicated below. Responses are tallied and averaged to provide the average long (or short) position or all NAAIM managers, as a group.

Range of Responses:

200% Leveraged Short
100% Fully Short
0% (100% Cash or Hedged to Market Neutral)
100% Fully Invested
200% Leveraged Long

Data collection issues that may affect the statistical significance of this data include:

Use of a single, composite number for each adviser may not accurately represent the market view of a manager who has short term and long term strategies that are providing conflicting signals or a manager who uses both contra-trend and trend following strategies for different portfolios.

Investment Styles very widely among managers participating in this survey. They may include managers that trade very frequently and can switch long and short positions daily. Other managers stay fully invested at all times and only change allocations among market segments or sectors. Still others trade around core positions and only a portion of their portfolios change, but that portion could potentially go from long to short very quickly.

 

 Good morning Traders,

As the year winds down and markets drift sideways to higher, I thought what better day then Veteran’s Day to get you better acquainted with one of our new traders, Ian Mitchell, a former Infantry Squad Leader for the Marines.
Ian heads up daily Stock, Forex and Futures Newsletters using his disciplined Marine approach to trading.
Each service also gets access to his weekly newsletter called Successful Trader, where he outlines what it takes to be successful in trading the markets. Below is his October performance update for his Futures service:
What better way to celebrate Veteran’s Day by joining Ian and learning his successful and disciplined approach to trading. You can try any of his services for 4 weeks for only $1 – even the Forex and Futures service. Each service comes with a trading manual to help you understand how to follow his recommendations and get set up with accounts trading Forex and Futures.
Click any of the links below and use the Discount Code listed on the right to get your $1 discounted first 4 weeks.
 
October Performance11/5/2014 12:39:12 AM
 
Copper Setup
 
The price chart above shows the latest completed trade on the Copper (HG) December futures contract. Posting began for Ian Mitchell’s Futures service around mid-October, and the spreadsheet below shows the results thus far for trade alerts before November 1st. Even with the current track record, the power of a positive risk/reward can already be seen.
 
The current average winner is 2.37 times the average losing trade, allowing a trader to stay profitable with a 42.85% win ratio. These results do not include commissions, and results may vary based on what price orders are filled at. The number of contracts shown are based on an attempt to keep the risk as similar as possible on each trade. In this case, the stop risk is kept close to $2000.00 on each trade, based on the tick value of each market and stop distance from entry.
 
October Results
 
Going forward, the target will be to reach a 50% win ratio with at least a 2.0 profit factor after a longer series of trades.

The recent increased volatility casued great movement in the market, allowing for some great setups to unfold as the S&P 500 sold off, then sky-rocketed upward to new highs. For a directional trader, this is an exceptional time to participate in the market when using a legitimate strategy combined with great discipline.
 
Ian Mitchell
 
Stock, Forex, and Futures Trader
 
Ian@StockBarometer.com
——————————————————–
As for the markets, here’s our model which has inverted, but is also one of 3 of our cycles predicting things should slow down in the next two weeks:
stock market timing
What’s also important about the above model (that we put together last year) is that it’s calling for a year end top, then a larger move lower. That’s our prediction for the markets.
As for Ian, he grew up in Alaska and would hunt and fish during the summer and snowmobile in the winter. As a marine, he was deployed twice to the Middle East. He’s returned to Alaska and after a successful career in real estate, has been a professional trader for the past decade.
Again, to sign up use the following links and discount codes:
Regards,
Carl Adams, Publisher
PS – Each service comes with a trading manual to help you follow his trading and also open forex and futures accounts.
So sign up today even if you just want to learn more about trading forex and futures – as Ian’s shown above, it can be very lucrative…
Good morning Traders,
 
As election day is finally upon us, there can be a significant response in the stock market. 
 
Accordingly, we want to make you a special offer.  Our Daily Stock Barometer Premier Service for only $24.95.  This is
a limited time offer (available for the next week only) and if you subscribe, we’ll honor your subscription for as long as you remain subscribed. 
There’s a lot about to happen in the markets right now, and we want as many traders to be ready for it.  We’ll have this morning’s Daily Stock
Barometer below, but first, more about your subscription. 
 
The Premier subscription includes the following:
 
  • The Daily Stock Barometer – Stock market timing advice
  • QQQ Trader Alert – trade the QQQ using our market timing advice
  • Stock Options Speculator – Top 100 PUTS and CALLS at our timing reversals
  • Covered Call Alert – our top 100 Covered Calls at stock market tops.
  • IRG Market Timing Indicators – all our research (that you see here and 300 more indicators) Emailed to you weekly
  • Gold Options Trader - Using our research to trade Gold Options – our last trade was up several hundred percent
  • Oil Options Trader – Using our research to trade Oil Options – again our last trade in this service (PUTS) was up over 400%
  • Natural Gas Options Trader – we recently expanded our research theories to cover Natural Gas 
  • And more…
To subscribe, click the following link over the next week.  We are not offering a discount to try the services, because this is
a limited time deal. 
 
 
 
Here’s this morning’s Daily Stock Barometer:
 
Election Day
 
Good morning Traders,
 
As election day comes to a close, we’ll have a better view of the power in the government over the next two years.  I’m not a
political person, but you have to monitor it as it can cause some shifts in investing strategies.  Those shifts have the potential to impact the
market which sits atop a precipice. 
 
In today’s article, we’ll view our cycles and timing indicators.  We’re in the window for a reversal over the next two
weeks.  So the caution flag is raised.
 
First, we have our inverted version of our model that we published last year.  As we get close to 2015, I’ll start modeling next
years market.  But for this one, I extended it into 2015 because it shows such a significant year end move.
 
forecast
 
Next, is our 10/20/40 cycles, which had us looking for an October low.  Now we have a 10 week cycle high date coming
in.  Markets rarely follow these cycles rigidly, and the timing of actual bottoms to cycle bottoms can tell us a little about the state of the
market.  For example, the fact that this bottom was right justified (came in late) is bearish.
 
stock market cycles
 
Our 35 day trading cycle, which nailed the 8/5 bottom, is approaching an 11/12 date, looking like it’s inverted. 
 
35 day
 
Going to a stock market internal indicator, we have a potential top.
 
internals
 
And finally, in this view of our stock market timing tool, we are approaching a top.
 
barometer
 
As we enter this window for a top, we’ll likely issue our covered calls first, as we don’t expect the markets to be able to make much
headway over the next month.  But that doesn’t mean the markets will crash.  One can only hope… 
 
These indicators are all about timing.  As we’ve been doing since 2000 and since we went on our own and
started this site to help traders time the market – all our indicators are about knowing when to buy and when to sell.  While the market is
random, it can be predicted to a point.  And we’ll continue to give you our unbiased view, based on facts, not news or false narrative.
 
That being said, the election is a timing component that can play into the markets.  When we see such a convergence of
indicators with a ‘news’ event, the potential for a shift in the markets is huge.  So stay tuned…
 
Regards,
 
 
_____________________________________
 
The year end is setting up for a very significant trade and we want as many people to be on board as possible.  We’ve been
writing this advisory for over 10 years, so we would love to prove our value to you and have you as a client.
 
Again, To subscribe, click the following link over the next week.  Note, we are not offering trials for this
special limited time deal. 
 
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 

https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc