The below chart represents Cumulative ETF money flow.

We’ve been monitoring money flow into this group, causing a narrowing or market breadth, leaving the stock market vulnerable.  Visit our site www.stockbarometer.com to learn how to profit from the coming market move.

This is significantly strong, but on a contrarian basis, it can be bearish. Visit our Facebook page below to see our Roc view. Access all this data on our website below.

ETF Money Flow

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

Click here to Visit our Face Book Page and Like Up for our free updates

The below chart represents ETF money flow. A significant change that is taking place in the financial markets is the shift of money into ETFs and the money leaving equity funds. This is significantly strong, but on a contrarian basis, it can be bearish. Visit our Facebook page below to see our Roc view. Access all this data on our website below.

etf money flow

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

Click here to Visit our Face Book Page and Like Up for our free updates

The relationship between stocks and bonds is key to interpreting and predicting future price action.   The view is that the bond market is so much larger than the stock market, that money flowing in and out of bonds causes movement in other vehicles, such as stocks.

Take a look at the following momentum chart of the QQQ versus Bonds (in the form of TLT) :

QQQ Bonds TLT RSI

What you can see is initial peaks in the relative action cause markets to pause.  The second peak – whether it’s higher or lower, tells you if momentum is shifting.

Where are we now?  We’ve had our initial peak in Stocks bouncing relative to Bonds and we’re working on the second peak.  We at www.stockbarometer.com expect a bearish divergence to set up the next move lower in the markets.  Bonds will bounce, gold will bounce and risky assets will fall.  But this action will ultimately set up the next best buying opportunity for the stock market!  So stay tuned!

To learn more about us, click below:

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

Equity Money Flow Versus Sentiment

The neat thing about the following chart is that it compares to entirely different data series – equity money flow, and investor sentiment and shows a direct correlation. Conclusion – sentiment is sentiment and impacts every action we take with our money. This is bullish, since equity money flow is coming out of the market and sentiment is bearish – two things you almost always see before markets advance. This chart is from tomorrow’s report to clients – you can subscribe to the daily stock barometer for only $1 – visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn more.

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to access our research.

Cumulative Money Flow

Good morning Traders,
 
There’s a lot going on in the markets this week, so let’s dig right in.
 
The market is in the process of adjusting to the action by the Swiss Central Bank.  Amazing how these black swan events come out
of the blue.  And it takes markets a while to adjust.  As a money manager, you don’t just dump your entire portfolio on the market. 
It’s a process of building a position.  Here’s how money managers move their money:
 
Click here to subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer
 
The issue on the timing with the market right now is that we’re at an options expiration.  These points in time tend to be
either reversals or acceleration points.  Also we’re seeing a spike in index put buying – so as you approach expiration, it makes sense for firms to
want weakness to get the most benefit – before jumping in and buying this market.  FYI – We issued the following chart back in 2013
with our forecast going all the way into 2015 – it was calling for an ominous move and we’re seeing it play out right now:
 
Click here to subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer
 
We’ve already released our full forecast for 2015 to our clients – if you subscribe today, you’ll get to see our full view for the
remainder of the year.  You may be surprised…
 
We’re also seeing a peak in the US Dollar and Bonds.  If this is truly a peak, then we’re going to have some great opportunities
in the very near term in oil and gold and natural gas.  Accordingly, we want to make you a special offer on our Premier Service – a USD50
Value, for only 24.95 – and you’ll get access to the following (including ALL our research charts):
  • The Daily Stock Barometer –
    Stock market timing advice
  • QQQ Trader Alert – trade the
    QQQ using our market timing advice
  • Stock Options Speculator –
    Top 100 PUTS and CALLS at our timing reversals
  • Covered Call Alert – our top
    100 Covered Calls at stock market tops.
  • IRG Market Timing Indicators
    – all our research (that you see here and 300 more indicators) Emailed to you weekly
  • Gold Options Trader
    – Using our research to trade Gold Options – our last trade was up several hundred percent
  • Oil Options Trader – Using
    our research to trade Oil Options – again our last trade in this service (PUTS) was up over 400%
  • Natural Gas Options Trader –
    we recently expanded our research theories to cover Natural Gas 
  • And
    more…
This is a limited time offer (available for
the next week only) and if you subscribe, we’ll honor your subscription for as long as you remain subscribed.  There’s a lot about to happen in the
markets right now, and we want as many traders to be ready for it. 
We are not offering a discounted trial to the
services, because this is a limited time half off deal. 
 
 
We’ve also been following several more research indicators (from other sources) that we’ll release in the coming weeks.
 
How about a stock chart:
 
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From a technical point of view, things are not so bad yet – this sideways action represents less than a 50% retracement of the
large October advance (which was our 9 month cycle low).  So as technically bearish as the market is, the markets are building potential
energy to bounce. 
 
How about money flow:
 
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This view of money flow is very bullish – nothing we’re seeing now is out of the ordinary with this rally.  That being said, if
you remove the ETF data, then the picture looks a little different:
 
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This is a chart we shared with clients a week ago.  The 07/08 top saw similar action – where people who were late
entering the market advance flooded into Index ETFs.  If you take out that data, it shows that the market may be vulnerable. 
 
 
Again, we want to make you a special offer on our Premier Service – a USD50 Value, for only 24.95 – and you’ll get access to the
following (including ALL our research charts):

  • The Daily Stock Barometer –
    Stock market timing advice
  • QQQ Trader Alert – trade the
    QQQ using our market timing advice
  • Stock Options Speculator –
    Top 100 PUTS and CALLS at our timing reversals
  • Covered Call Alert – our top
    100 Covered Calls at stock market tops.
  • IRG Market Timing Indicators
    – all our research (that you see here and 300 more indicators) Emailed to you weekly
  • Gold Options Trader
    – Using our research to trade Gold Options – our last closed trade was up several hundred percent
  • Oil Options Trader – Using
    our research to trade Oil Options – again our last closed trade in this service (PUTS) was up over 400%
  • Natural Gas Options Trader –
    we recently expanded our research theories to cover Natural Gas 
  • And
    more…
This is a limited time offer (available for
the next week only) and if you subscribe, we’ll honor your subscription for as long as you remain subscribed.  There’s a lot about to happen in the
markets right now, and we want as many traders to be ready for it. 
We are not offering a discounted trial to the
services, because this is a limited time half off deal. 
 
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 

Periodically we will hear statements like we heard today “Trimtabs is reporting the highest inflows into ETS since the top back in November 2007!”

That’s enough to scare you out of the market.  But is it accurate? 

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn more…

Companies like Trimtabs don’t share their research, so it’s impossible to verify it’s accuracy without the actual data.  We’ve reached out to the firm to see if they will send us data for verification.

However, our research shows that this isn’t the case.  On a weekly basis, we’ve been at this level 3 times over the past few years.  And going back to the 2007 top – we are no where near that level. 

Also note that the November 2007 top saw a spike in buying, but the market had already initiated it’s downtrend.  This was the one last bounce before all hell broke loose…

And the market is no where near that point.  First, on 9/19/07, ETF flow spiked.  This was right before the initial top.  Next, on 12/12/07 ETF Flow again spiked as it bounced following the initial attempt to retest highs.  Third, 3/19/08 – that was the biggest spike, as the market couldn’t muster a 50% retracement of the initial thrust lower.  The final bounce in August/September was the last big spike in ETF Flow until the initial attempt at a bottom.

Not Trimtabs ETF Money Flow

6/2/2014 5:56:52 AM

Good morning Traders,

As we run through today’s review of our research, we see some positions developing as early as this week:

In our QQQ Trader service, when our stock market timing indicator reaches this level, expected one month gains are 0 to -5%.

 

From our weekly research, the money flow is cautious.

http://www.stockbarometer.com

Last year we issued the following forecast – here’s where we stand.  For stocks to continue on this path, bonds will need to sell off and money will need to continue flowing into stocks

 

In our commodity options service, we’re positioned in GOLD PUTS.  Here’s one reason and why we expect further weakness into July…

 

This potential broadening top pattern which would fail in the 77 level!

 stock market timing

We have resolution in the big divergence.  Now at these levels, we have to start thinking about a top.  That means we’ll likely issue our top Covered Calls this week with our top Stock Options Put Trades in our Stock Options Speculator service!

 stock market timing

This simple indicator keeps track of tick lows, which are a better read on the market sell pressure than anything else.  This pop in the reading suggests a lack of sell pressure supporting the market rise here. 

 stock market timing

We’ll need to see how the market responds to a tick up in sell pressure, which will lead us to a measure of efficiency in the next market move.  Tops tend to linger and frustrate traders.  And I expect we’ll see the same here.  To learn more about any of our services or access any of our current trades, visit www.stockbarometer.com

Regards,

www.stockbarometer.com

Good morning Traders,

The weekend is always a good time to reflect on the past week and make your action plan for the week ahead.  Here’s an image from our daily updates this week:

Equity Money Flow

As a contrary indicator, equity money flow is bearish at this time.  For more information, visit www.stockbarometer.com

Here is a chart for your consideration:

cumulative equity money flow

This was part of our morning article – for the rest of the article about how to position for this market, visit www.stockbarometer.com and sign up for the Daily Stock Barometer.   It’s only $1 for your first 4 weeks using discount code DSB1.