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The Concensus Indicator

Nasdaq New Highs

Stepping back and looking at something we identified as this market continued higher – participation was decreasing.  Now each indicator is different in how it contributes to understanding market movements.  The New Highs is in the buy zone.   But it can remain at this level for some time.  It’s influence is minimized at this point. 

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Good Morning Traders,

Here’s the signal from the AAII Bulls:

AAII

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com

Good morning traders,

Here’s a chart from our Daily Stock Barometer on the future price of oil and what it means for the stock market:

oil leading indicator

If you want to learn move – visit www.stockbarometer.com

Timing the stock market is all about reading the clues from the data. Here we look at Nasdaq Cumulative Volume for a signal.

The bullish interpretation of this data is that cumulative volume has exceeded the previous two highs.  Price action tends to follow action confirmed by volume.

The bearish interpretation of this indicator is that if it crosses below the  yellow line, which is the 34-day moving average – we should move into a mid term sell off…  We’re not there yet.

Stock Market Timing

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Below is a list of the research/indicators provided in our research.  A subscription will get you a daily advisory where we identify trading opportunities based on these indicators.

Nasdaq Charts:

One consideration with all my indicators is that I try to adust the scale so that they move with the market. This will give you a better understanding of the relative correlation or lack thereof.

After correlation, the next consideration is level and direction. If you have high correlation, and the indicator is moving up, then the market is likely to move higher. If you have a buy signal (turn higher) coming
off a relatively low level, then you could be on the verge of a significant move higher.

Mc – McLellan Oscillator – Nasdaq *NEW*

QQQ –QQQQ Buy/Sell Spread Momentum Chart

The spread/momentum indicators assist in your trading of the QQQQ (Nasdaq 100), GOLD (Gold), US Dollar, USO (Oil) and TLT (20 year bonds). They are tuned to deliver short and intermediate term buy and sell signals. The level, direction, and position to the zero line are keys in interpreting these indicators. For example, direction determines mode and a buy signal ‘above zero’ is more bullish than a buy signal ‘below zero’.

s-b-time – Bond Stock Transfer Model

Ud – QQQQ/SPY Up Days less Down Days

The QQQQ is the Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) for the Nasdaq 100 and the SPY is the ETF for the S&P 500. This indicator shows the 9 day moving average of the cumulative up and down market days for the SPY and QQQQ on a chart with the SPY.

GLD – Gold ETF Buy/Sell Spread Momentum Chart

GLDli – Gold Leading Indicator Chart

GLDv – Gold Volitility

Rsg – GLD vs. XAU Relative Strength

Rsg2 – Gold vs. XAU Relative Strength (Short Term)

rsg2a – Gold vs. Dollar Relative Strength

Xau – XAU Buy/Sell Spread Momentum Chart

DOLLAR – US Dollar Buy/Sell Spread Momentum Chart

Udg – XAU Up Days less Down Days

BOND – Bond Spread Momentum Indicator

Udb – TLT Up Days less Down Days – 8 Day Moving Average

Ud2 – TLT Up Days Less Down Days (vs. SPY) Inverted Scale

OIL – Buy/Sell Spread Momentum Chart

udV – VXO (volatility) & Nasdaq Up Volume less down volume

ts – Stock Barometer ‘Spread’ Indicator (short and mid term)

lts – Stock Barometer Long Term Spread Indicator

test – Test Chart of 12 variables

adv – Nasdaq Advancing Stocks

t2o – Old Barometer w/ Nas Advance Decline

Tv – Oscillator III Model

Tv2 – Short Term Oscillators III (with sub oscillators)

Nh(2) – Nasdaq Yearly New Highs

DSB – The Daily Stock Barometer

T2L – 5 & 13 Day Stock Barometer

T2B – Nasdaq Stock Barometer

uDsb –
Nasdaq Barometer Up Days less Down Days

 

t2t2 – Barometer – Fibonacci Moving Averages

BE – Nasdaq Barometer Efficiency

New – Buy/Sell Barometer – Various indicators

P2 – CBOE Put/Call Ratio

Pc1 – Put Call Ratio

Ov – Equity and Index Option Volume

Ip – Index Options Put Call Ratio

EP – Equity Options Put Call Ratio

Ps – SPX vs. SPY Put/Call Ratio

Pv – VIX Put/Call Ratio (& Open Interest)

Pv2 – VIX Put/Call Ratio (& Open Interest) – Inverted Scale

Pvoi – VIX Open Interest Put/Call Ratio

Pq – 5-Day QQQQ Put Call Ratio

Vv – The VXO Thrust Indicator

EIOVR – Equity to Index Option Volume Ratio

Vix – VIX/VXO & VXN

V2 – VXO 5/13

V3 – VXO Spread

V4 – VXN Momentum

A – Nyse Combined Arms

A2 – NYSE Arms

Tk2 – Tick High/Low/Close

TL – Nyse Tick Lows

Th – Nyse Tick Highs

Tvol – NYSE Tick Spread Thrust Indicator

nTvol – Nasdaq Tick Spread Thrust Indicator

NA – Nasdaq 5-day arms

NaH – Nasdaq Arms H/L/C

Nt2 – Nasdaq Tick H/L/C

Nth – Nasdaq Tick Highs

Ntl – Nasdaq Tick Lows

Db – Nasdaq Cumulative Breadth (Long Term)

Db2 – Nasdaq Cumulative Breadth (Short Term)

Brc – Nasdaq Breadth ROC

Dvb – Nasdaq Cumulative Volume (Long Term)

Dv2 – Nasdaq Cumulative Volume (Short Term)

Vrc – Nasdaq Volume ROC

Rsi – SPY/QQQ Rsi

RSI(2) – SPY/QQQ RSI Inverse

Rsi3 – QQQ/SPY RSI

nTrc – Nasdaq Tick ROC

dec – Nasdaq Declines

adr – Nasdaq ADR/ADV-Ratio

ad3 – Nas Breadth Spread

ad – MA Adv – Decl

Zw – Variation on breadth

Vad – MA Adv Vol – Decl Vol

N1 – Nasdaq Comp TI

VXe – VXN Efficiency

N2 – Nasdaq Comp MTI

Hl – 5-day New Highs – New Lows (Long Term)

Hl2 – 5-day New Highs – New Lows (Short Term)

New2 – Composite Market Sentiment Indicator

Dhl – Cumulative New Highs/New Lows

Nhl – New High/New Low Indicator

Nh – Nasdaq YEarl Highs – 4 year

Nl – Nasdaq Yearly Lows – 4 year

Nl2 – Nasdaq Yearly Lows (Log Scale)

HOn – Nasdaq Stock Market Crash Monitor *NEW*


NYSE CHARTS

McLellan Oscillator *NEW*

SPY – Spy spread indicator

s-b-x – Stock/Bond Rebalance Timing Model *NEW*

OIL – Oil Leading Indicator Chart *NEW*

Oilv – Oil Volatility Chart *NEW*

uD – Up/Down Indicator for QQQ/SPY

udV – Up/Down Volume & Volatility

test – test model of sentiment

t2o – Old Version Barometer (Algorythm)

t2t – NYSE Barometer

t2b – Old Stock Barometer

Tv – Old Barometer

Tv2 – Old barometer – VIX Separated

Be – NYSE Barometer Efficiency

new – Test Model of sentiment

P2 – CBOE Put/Call Ratio

Ov – equity put call option volume

Ep – Equity Put Call Ratio

Ps – SPX Put Call Ratio

Po – OEX Put Call Ratio/OI

POI – OEX Open Interest put call ratio

EIVR – Equity to Index Option Vol

VTI – VXO Thrust Indicator

Vix – New VIX to Old Vix ratio

V2 – VXO 5/13 chart

V3 – VXO Momentum

V3a – VIX Momentum

A – Combined Arms

A5 – NYSE Arms High/Low/Close

A2 – Nyse Arms/Trin

Tk2 – Nyse Tick Highs/Lows & Close

tH – Nyse TICK Highs

tL – NYSE Tick Lows

db – NYSE Cumulative Breadth (long term)

db2 – NYSE Cumulative Breadth (short term)

BRC – Nyse Breadth Rate of Chance

Dvb – Nyse Cumulative Volume (Long Term)

dvb2 – Nyse Cumulative Volume (ShortTerm)

Vrc – Nyse Volume Rate of Change

F – Forecast 2003-07

F6 – Forecast 2005-06

F7 – Forecast 2008

F9 – Forecast 2009

F10 – Forecast 2010

F10 – Forecast 2011 *NEW*

F12 – Forecast 2012 *NEW*

F12b – Forecast (Inverted) 2012 *NEW*

105 – 105 day trading cycle dates

35 – 35 day trading cycle dates

35-8 – 35 day trading cycle dates

35-10 – 35 day trading cycle dates

35-11 – 2011 35/105 day trading cycle dates *NEW*

35-12 – 2012 35/105 day trading cycle dates *NEW*

S07 – Cycles & Seasonality

S08 – Cycles & Seasonality

S09 – Cycles & Seasonality

S10 – Cycles & Seasonality

S11 – Cycles & Seasonality

S12 – Cycles & Seasonality

20-6 – 10/20/40 week cycles for 09

20-7 – 10/20/40 week cycles for 09

20-8 – 10/20/40 week cycles for 09

20-9 – 10/20/40 week cycles for 09

20 – decade of 40 week cycles

Rsi3 – QQQ/SPY RS Spread

Rs – Spy/Q RS vs SPY

Rsq – SPY/QQQQ Relative Strength

Trc – Cumulative Tick Delta ROC

Adv – Nyse Advances

Dec – Nyse Declines

Adr – NYSE Adv Dec & Volume ratio

Ad3 – NYSE Breadth Spread

Ad – NYSE Advances – declines

Zw – variation on breadth

Vad – Adv – decl volume

New2 – Composite Market Sentiment

Ve – VXO Efficiency

Mf – Money Flow Equity Funds

Mfb – Money Flow Bonds

Bbr – Investor’s Intelligence’s (II) %bulls – %bears (10+ yrs)

Bbr-2 – II %bulls – % bears

AAII – II vs. AAII % Bulls Minus % Bears *NEW*

bbr2 – II %Bulls Minus Bears – separated *NEW*

Bbrb – % Bears vs. BBR

Cor – II Calling for a Correction

BS – II Buy Sell Climaxes

Hl – 5-day New Highs minus new lows

Dhl – Cumulative new highs/new lows

Nhl – New High/New Low Indicator

Nh – Nyse Yrly New Highs

Nl – Nyse YRLY New Lows

HO – NYSE Stock Market Crash Monitor

ecri – ECRI Weekly Leading Index (Unadjusted) *NEW*

gi – ECRI Weekly Leading Index – Growth *NEW*

Again, you can access all these charts at www.stockbarometer.com with a subscription to the Daily Stock Barometer.  Click here to sign up now for only $1.

Regards,

Stock Barometer

Investment Research Group, Inc.