The relationship between stocks and bonds is key to interpreting and predicting future price action.   The view is that the bond market is so much larger than the stock market, that money flowing in and out of bonds causes movement in other vehicles, such as stocks.

Take a look at the following momentum chart of the QQQ versus Bonds (in the form of TLT) :

QQQ Bonds TLT RSI

What you can see is initial peaks in the relative action cause markets to pause.  The second peak – whether it’s higher or lower, tells you if momentum is shifting.

Where are we now?  We’ve had our initial peak in Stocks bouncing relative to Bonds and we’re working on the second peak.  We at www.stockbarometer.com expect a bearish divergence to set up the next move lower in the markets.  Bonds will bounce, gold will bounce and risky assets will fall.  But this action will ultimately set up the next best buying opportunity for the stock market!  So stay tuned!

To learn more about us, click below:

This is one of our 300 market timing indicators to help traders and investors identify potential buy and sell points.

To learn more, visit www.stockbarometer.com or sign up for our free newsletter at http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

https://www.facebook.com/InvestmentResearchGroupInc/?ref=hl

Good morning traders.  As the election looms, the signal from our DSB Cumulative Tick Index is showing cautionary signs:

Daily Stock Barometer

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn more or try our service for only $1.

Visit www.stockbarometer.com and subscribe to a trial of the Daily Stock Barometer for only $1 – and get all our timing and seasonality research!

US Dollar Seasonality

Here is our 2015 Stock Market Forecast.  We issued this forecast last year and this is how it’s playing out.  For more information, visit www.stockbarometer.com and subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer.

Stock Market Forecast

Visit here to view our weekly reports:

http://archive.aweber.com/awlist3823220

Stock Market Timing

Equity Money Flow Versus Sentiment

The neat thing about the following chart is that it compares to entirely different data series – equity money flow, and investor sentiment and shows a direct correlation. Conclusion – sentiment is sentiment and impacts every action we take with our money. This is bullish, since equity money flow is coming out of the market and sentiment is bearish – two things you almost always see before markets advance. This chart is from tomorrow’s report to clients – you can subscribe to the daily stock barometer for only $1 – visit www.stockbarometer.com to learn more.

Visit www.stockbarometer.com to access our research.

Cumulative Money Flow

Good morning Traders,
 
Last year we brought in Gregory Clay to head up an options income trading service because we expected markets to be more challenging as we near the end of the 2009 bull market.  Since then, we saw one correction last August and one consolidation that initiated last November and just completed recently.  While we expected good performance, we didn’t expect what we got.  And it’s because of that performance, Gregory’s service has been growing significantly.  Here’s his last performance update – going back to when we launched his service back in April of 2014:
 
 

Six Month Performance Results2/12/2015 2:12:19 PM
Market Summary
Weekly Income Credit Spread (WICS) six-month trade results are displayed below. The past six months we were able to execute 18 of the published trades. 17 of these trades closed out at a profit. Shown below are the details for each trade. The trades do not include commissions and fees. Also, results will vary based on the number of contracts traded, and at what price the orders are filled. The Opening Trade date is when the ‘Trade Alert’ was published for the trade. Each trade was closed out on the date associated with the Closing Trade. The gain or (loss) for each spread is highlighted along with a Summary Total (accumulated result of all the trades for the past year).
 
Sign up now to lock in your subscription!
 
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Note
Weekly Income Credit Spread (WICS) trade setups are published in the evening for execution the following day(s). Suggested prices for each option contract are the published quotes at the time an article is written. We will provide trade price confirmation during the trading day. Keep in mind that in the ‘Trade Setup’ for Trade Alerts we suggest a minimum credit amount that we would accept. Generally, if the recommended prices are not available, we can accept the suggested minimum to do the trade. Be aware that high market volatility can make it difficult to execute trades at recommended prices
 
Regards,
 
Gregory Clay
Options Strategist
 
 
————————————————-
 
Again, this performance has been really impressive in both return and consistency.
 
How do you start your subscription?
 
 
How do you get your first 4 weeks for only $1?   USE DISCOUNT CODE WIC1 when signing up.
 
So what about the markets?  The message is real simple – bonds are selling off and fueling stocks.  The advance has made the market very complacent, as evidenced by the chart below.  This complacency CAN lead to a top – but the liquidity from bonds CAN continue the rally.   We’re at 13 days running above the 9 day moving average.  A liquidity advance can last 30-40 days!  This would definitely lead to a peak in lime with our previous forecast. 
 
Subscribe Today! 
 
 
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 
PS – The issue with Gregory’s Newsletter being so popular is that at some point, we will have to close this service off to new subscribers because Gregory’s trades/clients can actually move the market.  I expect to reach this saturation point in 2015.  So if you’re on the fence, sign up today to lock in your subscription.    CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP  and don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE WIC1 when signing up. 
 
PSS – Supporting Healthy Clients – click here for our discounted health & fitness products
Good morning Traders,
 
There’s a lot going on in the markets this week, so let’s dig right in.
 
The market is in the process of adjusting to the action by the Swiss Central Bank.  Amazing how these black swan events come out
of the blue.  And it takes markets a while to adjust.  As a money manager, you don’t just dump your entire portfolio on the market. 
It’s a process of building a position.  Here’s how money managers move their money:
 
Click here to subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer
 
The issue on the timing with the market right now is that we’re at an options expiration.  These points in time tend to be
either reversals or acceleration points.  Also we’re seeing a spike in index put buying – so as you approach expiration, it makes sense for firms to
want weakness to get the most benefit – before jumping in and buying this market.  FYI – We issued the following chart back in 2013
with our forecast going all the way into 2015 – it was calling for an ominous move and we’re seeing it play out right now:
 
Click here to subscribe to the Daily Stock Barometer
 
We’ve already released our full forecast for 2015 to our clients – if you subscribe today, you’ll get to see our full view for the
remainder of the year.  You may be surprised…
 
We’re also seeing a peak in the US Dollar and Bonds.  If this is truly a peak, then we’re going to have some great opportunities
in the very near term in oil and gold and natural gas.  Accordingly, we want to make you a special offer on our Premier Service – a USD50
Value, for only 24.95 – and you’ll get access to the following (including ALL our research charts):
  • The Daily Stock Barometer –
    Stock market timing advice
  • QQQ Trader Alert – trade the
    QQQ using our market timing advice
  • Stock Options Speculator –
    Top 100 PUTS and CALLS at our timing reversals
  • Covered Call Alert – our top
    100 Covered Calls at stock market tops.
  • IRG Market Timing Indicators
    – all our research (that you see here and 300 more indicators) Emailed to you weekly
  • Gold Options Trader
    – Using our research to trade Gold Options – our last trade was up several hundred percent
  • Oil Options Trader – Using
    our research to trade Oil Options – again our last trade in this service (PUTS) was up over 400%
  • Natural Gas Options Trader –
    we recently expanded our research theories to cover Natural Gas 
  • And
    more…
This is a limited time offer (available for
the next week only) and if you subscribe, we’ll honor your subscription for as long as you remain subscribed.  There’s a lot about to happen in the
markets right now, and we want as many traders to be ready for it. 
We are not offering a discounted trial to the
services, because this is a limited time half off deal. 
 
 
We’ve also been following several more research indicators (from other sources) that we’ll release in the coming weeks.
 
How about a stock chart:
 
Click here to subscribe
 
From a technical point of view, things are not so bad yet – this sideways action represents less than a 50% retracement of the
large October advance (which was our 9 month cycle low).  So as technically bearish as the market is, the markets are building potential
energy to bounce. 
 
How about money flow:
 
Click here to subscribe
 
This view of money flow is very bullish – nothing we’re seeing now is out of the ordinary with this rally.  That being said, if
you remove the ETF data, then the picture looks a little different:
 
Click here to subscribe
 
This is a chart we shared with clients a week ago.  The 07/08 top saw similar action – where people who were late
entering the market advance flooded into Index ETFs.  If you take out that data, it shows that the market may be vulnerable. 
 
 
Again, we want to make you a special offer on our Premier Service – a USD50 Value, for only 24.95 – and you’ll get access to the
following (including ALL our research charts):

  • The Daily Stock Barometer –
    Stock market timing advice
  • QQQ Trader Alert – trade the
    QQQ using our market timing advice
  • Stock Options Speculator –
    Top 100 PUTS and CALLS at our timing reversals
  • Covered Call Alert – our top
    100 Covered Calls at stock market tops.
  • IRG Market Timing Indicators
    – all our research (that you see here and 300 more indicators) Emailed to you weekly
  • Gold Options Trader
    – Using our research to trade Gold Options – our last closed trade was up several hundred percent
  • Oil Options Trader – Using
    our research to trade Oil Options – again our last closed trade in this service (PUTS) was up over 400%
  • Natural Gas Options Trader –
    we recently expanded our research theories to cover Natural Gas 
  • And
    more…
This is a limited time offer (available for
the next week only) and if you subscribe, we’ll honor your subscription for as long as you remain subscribed.  There’s a lot about to happen in the
markets right now, and we want as many traders to be ready for it. 
We are not offering a discounted trial to the
services, because this is a limited time half off deal. 
 
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 

Good afternoon Traders,

And more importantly – are you all set for the New Year?  With the new year, brings new opportunities in the stock
market.  And while we’ve been pretty clear with our forecast for the start of 2015, let’s take a look at a couple indicators that are setting up just right.
 
But before I do, I want to alert you to one of our traders who’s been doing very well.  Gregory Clay’s High Value Options Trader (HVOT) service just closed another big winner.  The HVOT service includes a subscription to either Weekly Income Credit Spreads or
Easy Money Options Income.  These two income service produce the consistent profits that are then leveraged in the HVOT service.  So this is all about gains on top of gains!
 
We’ll feature the article below, but to take part in this service for 2015:
 
 
How do you get your first 4 weeks for only $1?   Use DISCOUNT CODE HVO1
when signing up.  Also let us know if you’d like WICS or EMOI included with your subscription.
 
Remember, we’re never going to come here and over promote any of our services like our competitors do.  I recently saw a
headline from a competitor about a “Misunderstood Option Strategy Earns Trader $41 Million in Only 3 Years” – we will never insult your
intelligence like that.  We are about real traders providing real advice.  We personally review the trading account statements from our
traders.  And we require they publish their performance – all trades – both good and bad – at least quarterly.  It’s our promise to
you. 
 
Before I share Gregory’s article/trade, here’s an indicator that’s playing into our call:
 
Cumulative new highs and new lows
 
The condition above preceded one of the largest, quickest sell offs that we have EVER seen.   I’m not saying it will
happen again, but I am suggesting that we’ll see some weakness.
 
Here’s Gregory’s last HVOT Alert:
———————————————-
 
Trade Alert – TRIP Exit Plan12/23/2014 9:17:12 PM
 
Market Summary
 
 
 
Your November
20th High Value Option Trader (HVOT) analyzed a TripAdvisor, Inc. (TRIP) trade and said
the stock price has moved higher after flashing a technical bullish reversal
sign…
the stock is at the
extremely oversold level where the price is starting to bounce off its 52-week low established last week…downward volume has dissipated and the
momentum indicator is starting to turn bullish.
At this point buying TRIP calls is a
low-risk opportunity to position for a big gain over the next few months.
 
…” TripAdvisor, Inc. stock price
bounced as expected, but the daily chart below indicates the upward move is stuck below a resistance level. The chart is flashing technical bearish reversal
signals; therefore it is best to cash out of this trade for a decent profit and avoid the opportunity for the price to
retrench.
 
Subscribe Now
 
 
Exit Plan
 
The OPENING TRADE down below was setup and published in the November
20
th High Value Option Trader
(HVOT) where we posted the exit plan for this trade
“…
Near term
resistance for the TRIP is our $82 target where we will look to close out this trade
(sell the call contracts)…” The chart above shows the trade may not achieve the original target
price, therefore tomorrow morning the plan is to enter an order to exit the position as displayed
in the CURRENT PRICE below.
 
Click on the
link below to see the opening trade article
 
 
 
Approx. gain is
$1,100 (Excludes commissions and
fees
)
 
Projected gain
is an approx. 49% ROI in approximately a month
 
Regards,
 
Gregory Clay
Option
Strategist
 
————————————–
 
So as you can see above, imagine taking the profits from one service, and using them to profit even more!  This is leveraging
compounding returns at it’s best!
 
 
Back to the stock market, here’s another piece of research we shared this week:
 
NAAIM
 
This shows the underlying investment managers positioning in a cyclical basis to stock markets.  Very interesting.  And
something to consider as we approach the new year with money managers fully invested!
 
Again, if you want to make profiting part of your 2015 resolutions – you can click the below link and get your first 4
weeks of Gregory’s HVOT Service for only $1?  
 
Use DISCOUNT CODE HVO1 when signing up.  Also let us know if you’d like WICS or EMOI included with
your subscription.
 
 
Have a Happy New Year and we look forward to helping you profit from the markets in 2015!
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 
PS – Again, CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP and don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE HVO1 when
signing up and let us know if you want WICS or EMOI at no extra cost.